How Many People are Pounding KC if the Rams Win Tomorrow

[exploited17]

?
Not that those who like the Bills will change their minds, but for the others will they bet more or play the odds at least 1 home team prevails

 

[Avocado33]

?
Not that those who like the Bills will change their minds, but for the others will they bet more or play the odds at least 1 home team prevails

Think both home teams have a great shot personally .

 

[slapshot]

Or do we get 2 overs

 

[exploited17]

Just think about this
What are the odds the QB who has started 3 years and made the AFC Championship game or better every year, The current NFL MVP and the GOAT all lose at home this round

 

[brendanjack]

Garoppolo vs brady cage match wrestle mania 50

 

[Willie99]

I think both road teams are winning today, making it a road sweep weekend

 

[brendanjack]

buffalos Allen is a bigger stronger Brett Farve

 

[Willie99]

buffalos Allen is a bigger stronger Brett Farve

With a lot fewer turnovers

 

[HarryCaray]

That's not how this works. Pretty sure Bills wouldn't decide not to try because the other 3 home teams lost and home teams are "due". Don't ever let this type of thinking impact your analysis of a game.

 

[exploited17]

That's not how this works. Pretty sure Bills wouldn't decide not to try because the other 3 home teams lost and home teams are "due". Don't ever let this type of thinking impact your analysis of a game.

I agree for the most part
But, really an odds play
As, I posted in another thread, what are the odds Brady, Mahomes and Rodgers all lose this year at home?
All 4 teams who are favored lose at home?
People cap games with much less and win
If you think every game is capped with the idea of how is such and such team going to stop the run or pass against such and such team.....lol
No diffeent than considering playoff trends/systems

 

[REDEYE]

You can get a pretty good idea of how this game will go in the first series..

Will refs let Brady get hit ? If they let the Rams play , they win. If they don't, Golden Boy moves on.

 

[brendanjack]

You can get a pretty good idea of how this game will go in the first series..

Will refs let Brady get hit ? If they let the Rams play , they win. If they don't, Golden Boy moves on.

So if Bucs come out and take a lead does that script get tossed? All pressure on Stafford. Always been a fan of his however bucs defense talented enough to capitalize on his Mistakes. If Brady’s on his keister all day then different story but a lead with Brady then it’s a no brainer. Brady executes like Rogers first drive last night advantage bucs

 

[Dr.Love]

But, really an odds play

The odds would be no different if all the home teams won. What happens in the other games has zero to do with the odds of BUF/KC.

If red comes up 20 times in a row on a roulette wheel, the odds of it hitting black on the 21st spin are the same as the odds on every other spin.

 

[REDEYE]

So if Bucs come out and take a lead does that script get tossed? All pressure on Stafford. Always been a fan of his however bucs defense talented enough to capitalize on his Mistakes. If Brady’s on his keister all day then different story but a lead with Brady then it’s a no brainer. Brady executes like Rogers first drive last night advantage bucs

yes it does..

 

[exploited17]

The odds would be no different if all the home teams won. What happens in the other games has zero to do with the odds of BUF/KC.

If red comes up 20 times in a row on a roulette wheel, the odds of it hitting black on the 21st spin are the same as the odds on every other spin.

I guess I will rephrase it
Agree or disagree it is fine
If I said lets bet 1000 before the start of this round
If all 4 road teams win SU I give you a thousand. If any home team wins you give me a thousand
No one would make that bet
Now if we get to the point that the Rams win, I think to myself at about even odds I take KC and in order for them to lose something that I do not believe has ever happened....has to happen
I am fine with a bet on that
But maybe it is easy to say as I have said they would win from day 1

I have changed my mind a bit on the Bills though after talking to someone
Still think KC wins
But the Bills are a bit of a different team, so hopefully they can
And no matter what I will not be betting KC

 

[HarryCaray]

I guess I will rephrase it
Agree or disagree it is fine
If I said lets bet 1000 before the start of this round
If all 4 road teams win SU I give you a thousand. If any home team wins you give me a thousand
No one would make that bet
Now if we get to the point that the Rams win, I think to myself at about even odds I take KC and in order for them to lose something that I do not believe has ever happened....has to happen
I am fine with a bet on that
But maybe it is easy to say as I have said they would win from day 1

I have changed my mind a bit on the Bills though after talking to someone
Still think KC wins
But the Bills are a bit of a different team, so hopefully they can
And no matter what I will not be betting KC

Different story if you're about making that kind of wager before the round starts. But betting on KC after the other 3 have lost (hypothetically) is like betting black after 3 reds on the roulette wheel cause it's due. Sure people do it, but it's retarded.

 

[REDEYE]

Different story if you're about making that kind of wager before the round starts. But betting on KC after the other 3 have lost (hypothetically) is like betting black after 3 reds on the roulette wheel cause it's due. Sure people do it, but it's retarded.

People could do themselves a big favor by just walking right past those roulette tables.

 

[PatsFan1283]

I guess I will rephrase it
Agree or disagree it is fine
If I said lets bet 1000 before the start of this round
If all 4 road teams win SU I give you a thousand. If any home team wins you give me a thousand
No one would make that bet
Now if we get to the point that the Rams win, I think to myself at about even odds I take KC and in order for them to lose something that I do not believe has ever happened....has to happen
I am fine with a bet on that
But maybe it is easy to say as I have said they would win from day 1

I have changed my mind a bit on the Bills though after talking to someone
Still think KC wins
But the Bills are a bit of a different team, so hopefully they can
And no matter what I will not be betting KC

Every game is an independent variable, you can't think like that.

Like if the refs let Brady get hit today, it isn't gonna change the fact Aaron Rodgers choked again last night. These events are mutually exclusive. Wiki Gamblers fallacy.

.... I kid my Rodgers people, I kid

 

[brendanjack]

You can get a pretty good idea of how this game will go in the first series..

Will refs let Brady get hit ? If they let the Rams play , they win. If they don't, Golden Boy moves on.

You were spot on first drive dictated everything. I almost thought the game was getting surreal. The rams were kicking there Ass weird shit was happening and the score was tied. . Brady great in pocket remove pocket he’s not invincible but the man doesn’t like losing and you get what you pay for . I’m no fan of his but I do respect him and all he has accomplished. I think he comes back for one more